In an economy where the prices of goods keep inflating, like a car going from $10,000 to $20,000 in 1 year, what would be the incentive for people to put their money in Bitcoin? Wouldn't the price of a bitcoin stay the same or decrease because people need their fiat money even more?
Add a comment
|
1 Answer
Inflation is increase in price without increase in utility. A car with similar features helps you get from point A to point B just like it did one year ago (same utility). However, the cost of the car increased by 2x one year later (higher price) indicating that the currency in which the price has been quoted has been reduced to 0.5x versus its value last year.
In an economy, we have economic output and wealth generation that happens over the course of years. This is represented by increased technological progress that brings in new jobs and as a result improves consumption of goods in the economy. In traditional economics, government tends to stimulate this growth by printing money and spending it on projects like infrastructure, research etc. However, most of the times the increase in economic output trails the value of currency that has been printed. This means slightly higher economic output is now being represented by much higher money in circulation, which results in devaluation of the currency.
In Bitcoin, the supply is capped at 21M. As Bitcoin gets used in almost all of our day-to-activities, it will indirectly represent the global economic output. As technological progress increases outputs, the same number of bitcoins will represent a higher economic output every year. Thus value of a bitcoin tomorrow is worth more than what it is worth today. On a relative basis this means Bitcoin appreciates in value with respect to other fiat currencies.
answered Sep 11, 2019 at 17:07
-
1Interesting - Bitcoin's limited availability actually bakes in a deflationary price trend. It seems the jury is still out on whether that will cause problems or not. Sep 11, 2019 at 17:27
-
@NuclearWang Inflationary currencies under government control suffer from the moral hazard of easy debt issuance that can later be erased through debasement at the expense of savers. Deflation is not bad, as it would prevent the high and low swings that we view in the economy today and allow a secular increase in economic output. I would highly recommend reading Austrian economics. Sep 11, 2019 at 17:38
-
@NuclearWang I think Bitcoin's deflationary nature will cause the biggest problems for Wall Street. Their entire pretense is "protecting your wealth" which will not be needed when Bitcoin goes mainstream. Many of the Wall Street funds take their capital from pension funds who invest in market to preserve the worth of the portfolio. I wrote about this several months back on Medium, which you can access here (medium.com/@ugamkamat/…) Sep 11, 2019 at 18:10